Robert Alexander/Getty Images(WASHINGTON) — The Secret Service – known for protecting the president – is now using their expertise to protect schools in the wake of a spate of deadly mass shootings.The new guidelines on enhancing school safety are based on research from the U.S. Secret Service’s National Threat Assessment Center. Lina Alathari, the author of the operational guide, told ABC News that although guns were used the majority of the time in the crimes studied, the report also includes attacks carried out using a “lethal weapon,” such as a knife, gun or explosives.After the shooting at Columbine High School in Colorado, the Secret Service approached the Department of Education and offered to use the same methods they use to study assassins to study school shooters.“No one had really studied school shooters from an operational preventive perspective before,” Alathari says.The purpose of the report was to show a “blueprint” for how schools can establish threat assessment programs in their schools so that they are identifying students who may be expressing distress or engaging in concerning behavior, she said.In the operational guide, the Secret Service says there is no profile for a student attacker.It could be male or female.It could be a good student or someone who struggles academically.It could be someone who is a loner, or well liked.The Secret Service also says that schools should establish a threat assessment team, which they say is “the first step” in developing a prevention plan.That team, which can be for just one school or an entire school district, should be diverse.“Teams should include personnel from a variety of disciplines within the school community, including teachers, guidance counselors, coaches, school resource officers, mental health professionals, and school administrators,” the report says. It also recommends that the team meets on a regular basis and have a clear leader.“Everyone brings a different perspective to how they interpret someone’s behavior,” Alathari said.According to Alathari, having a school resource officer on the team is helpful in identifying potential risk and they are often the first ones to respond on the scene.And in most cases, those officers have relationships with the students.“It’s very important to have this collaboration with law enforcement because not only can they assist when there is an imminent safety risk but they can assist in other ways as well,” Alathari said. “A lot of students respond well to school resource officers. They bond with them, sometimes they serve as coaches on teams, sometimes they co-teach classes; a lot of students feel comfortable having that presence in their schools.”In addition, determining the threshold of when to involve law enforcement in an incident is crucial.For example, in Colorado during the 2016-17 school year, most incidents submitted on the Colorado Safe2Tell program, a tip line dealt with “suicide, bullying, drugs, cutting (self-harm), and depression.”Most of those incidents can be dealt with in school with counselors and other support staff.Creating a central reporting mechanism is also important to the process of stopping student attackers, according to the report.“Schools can establish one or more reporting mechanisms, such as an online form posted on the school website, a dedicated email address or phone number, smartphone application platforms, or another mechanism that is accessible for a particular school community,” the report said.Many of the applications schools use resemble nationwide criminal reporting apps.The team should also put in place procedures – which includes who conducts interviews with troubled students, classmates and teachers.They should also have an evaluation process which determines which behaviors are unacceptable and warrant immediate intervention — ranging from threatening others, violence, bringing a weapon to school, bullying.If there is an immediate threat, however, like a threat to harm others or themselves, it is important to report it to someone as soon as possible.“Reports regarding student behaviors involving weapons, threats of violence, physical violence, or concerns about an individual’s safety should immediately be reported to local law enforcement,” the report said.The operational guide also says to be alert to whether a student has readily available access to weapons.For example, authorities said that the school shooter who killed 10 and injured 13 in Santa Fe, Texas used his father’s weapon to carry out the attack. In fact, Alathari said that the majority of the weapons in many of the school shootings were acquired from the home.Copyright © 2018, ABC Radio. All rights reserved.
(Visited 55 times, 1 visits today)FacebookTwitterPinterestSave分享0 News media are jumping over an announcement that Saturn’s moon Enceladus may have a large body of water under its icy crust, but what does it mean?Cassini scientists, publishing in Science Magazine, announced indirect evidence (via Doppler measurements of gravity anomalies during flybys) that Saturn’s little geysering moon Enceladus probably has a sub-surface ocean of liquid. The data cannot resolve whether the ocean is regional or global, but is probably regional: “Although the gravity data cannot rule out a global ocean, a regional sea is consistent with the gravity, topography, and high local heat fluxes and does not suffer from the thermal problems that a global ocean encounters,” they said. That’s because keeping water liquid requires a suitable heat source – the more water, the more heat required:The endogenic (nonsolar) power emitted from the south-polar region, derived from Cassini Composite Infrared Spectrometer data, is 15.8 GW [gigawatts], with a 20% formal uncertainty. This is equivalent to an average surface heat flux of ~20 mW/m2 and is an order of magnitude larger than conventional estimates of tidal heating if Enceladus’ current orbital eccentricity represents a so-called “equilibrium” resonant state with other satellites. It indicates time-variability in its internal properties, in a resonant state with other nearby moons, or in the rate of heat transport. In any or all of these cases, a plausible internal structure is that of a liquid water ocean overlain by a (thermally conductive) crust.It indicates those options, however, only if Enceladus is 4.5 billion years old, as assumed for solar system bodies. The BBC News coverage mentions that the ocean could only last for tens of millions of years, “maybe 100 million years,” in steady state, unless some unknown cycles, like episodes of higher eccentricity, intervene.Science journalist Richard A. Kerr, commenting on the paper in the same issue of Science, did not pay much attention to the time problem of maintaining heat for billions of years, other than to speculate, “The presence of liquid water remains unexplained, but Saturn’s powerful gravity probably played a role, by tidally kneading the moon and heating its interior.” Yet the scientists themselves had stated in their paper that the measured heat flux is “an order of magnitude larger than conventional estimates of tidal heating”.Rather than deal with that, Kerr focused on a different subject: “Suspicions that Saturn’s icy moon Enceladus harbors an internal ocean—one that could host life—have hardened into near certainty with exquisitely precise observations from the Cassini spacecraft,” he began. His ending mentioned life twice: “Such strong support for a sea beneath the spouting plumes of Enceladus should encourage scientists, mostly Cassini team members, who want NASA to send a new mission to Enceladus to explore for life,” he stated, also speaking of the possibility of “life-laden waters” under Enceladus.The popular media, predictably, focused on life:“The findings … will boost the view that the 500km-wide moon would be one of the best places beyond Earth to go look for the existence of microbial life.” (BBC News)“Saturn Moon Harbors Ocean, Raising Possibility of Life.” (National Geographic)“New gravity readings suggest it hosts a subsurface sea the size of Lake Superior at its south pole – and that this liquid water is in direct contact with the moon’s core, which is rich in nutrients. Both findings boost hopes that the sea hosts life.” (New Scientist)“Will Ocean Discovery On Enceladus Spur Life-Hunting Missions to Icy Moons of Saturn, Jupiter?” (Space.com – Mike Wall uses word “life” six times)Astrobiology Magazine, naturally, mentioned it, since astro-“biology” is their business: “Even if the reservoir is relatively young on the scale of geologic time, there’s still a chance for life,” the article said (oddly pointing out the possibility that the ocean is young; a young ocean would seem to require believing in life on the fast track). But once the idea of rapid life enters the imagination, why stop there? “This unexpected finding of an ocean on a small moon so far from the Sun raises a distinct possibility: that there are more oceans on more moons, each with a chance for life.” A possible pool of liquid water suddenly became evidence for life all over the solar system!The original paper is more reserved in its claims, as befits scientific modesty: “The interpretation of Enceladus gravity presents a greater difficulty and uncertainty than usual, given the strikingly different appearances of the northern and southern hemisphere and the apparent confinement of endogenic activity to the high southern latitudes,” it cautions. “Still, the deviation of J2/C22 from 10/3 (the value for a laterally homogeneous body) is modest (of order 5%) and the non–degree-2 gravity is small (of order 2% relative to J2), suggesting that there is some prospect of useful inferences.”Science Daily, echoing a press release from Caltech, did not mention life at all. To its credit, this report was also very modest in its claims, mentioning that a sub-surface ocean is only a reasonable possibility:The suspicion is that the fractures—in some way that is not yet fully understood—connect down to a part of the moon that is being tidally heated by the globe’s repeated flexing as it traces its eccentric orbit. “Presumably the tidal heating is also replenishing the ocean,” Stevenson says, “so it is possible that some of that water is making its way up through the tiger stripes.”JPL’s press release, however, mentioned the L-word life three times (Cassini is an international mission managed by JPL). Cassini project scientist Linda Spilker likely fueled the speculations of the popular media: “Material from Enceladus’ south polar jets contains salty water and organic molecules, the basic chemical ingredients for life,” she said. “Their discovery expanded our view of the ‘habitable zone’ within our solar system and in planetary systems of other stars.” Data: gravitational anomalies on a tiny moon. Conclusion: life abundant in the universe.It would be hard to find a more clear example of hydrobioscopy in action. Give evolutionists an inch and they take a light year. They have even less time to play with, using “chemical ingredients” they cannot see, employing processes that are not well understood, but then they turn around and extrapolate their imaginary microbes evolving around the whole universe! Spilker, of all people, should know better. She claims to be a Christian but repeats the water-equals-life mantra in a way that would make atheists applaud. Doesn’t she know that naturalistic origin-of-life theories are in crisis? (Survey our Origin of Life category for abundant evidence.)But why stop with microbial life? Since speculation is OK in science now, let’s dream of underwater cities under Enceladus, inhabited by mermaids and mermen. They can’t see Earth, but they speculate that if such a place exists, it can’t possibly be an abode for intelligent life. Perhaps they’re right.
A participant in the Broccoli Project incentive scheme with his reward for having an HIV test. Men wait in the Tutu Tester mobile facility for their turn at the test. Biometric identification helps keep track of people who have been tested at the Tutu Tester. (Images: MarcAnthony Zimmermann)Jennifer SternDespite the efforts of governments, charitable foundations, NGOs and individuals, half of the world’s population remains in poverty, with 3.9-billion people living on less than US$2 a day. It’s even biblical – the poor will always be with us.But it’s only recently that the poor have ever been seen as anything other than a problem that needs to be swept under the carpet, shipped off across an ocean or dealt with in some way. The most notable of the people proposing a different way of viewing the poor is CK Prahalad, author of The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid.Prahalad suggests that we stop thinking of the poor as a problem, or a burden, and start thinking of them as creative entrepreneurs and valuable consumers. These people “at the bottom of the pyramid” may not have much individual spending power but, because there are so many of them, collectively they represent Prahalad’s eponymous fortune.This realisation has not necessarily always been to the advantage of the poor, as it has opened them up to exploitation by ruthless corporations prepared to chase profit by any means. But there are also creative ways to make a profit from the bottom of the pyramid while offering a service that people actually need and want.So it was with all this in mind that MarcAnthony Zimmermann hit on the idea of an artist-endorsed starter pack for mobile phones. A joint collaboration with cellular operator Cell C, South African kwaito musician Zola and Zimmermann’s company Punq saw the launch of the Hola 7 starter pack in May 2008.Endorsed by an iconic local musician, the package offered real benefits to the users – allowing them reasonably priced access to the benefits of mobile phone technology. And one thing Zimmermann does like is technology.“But I really want to use my knowledge and creativity to do something with meaning,” Zimmermann says. “To do something good – while using cool technology, of course.”One of the most inequitable facts of modern life is that everything is cheaper for the rich. The more you have, the more you get given – a phenomenon graphically illustrated by loyalty programmes. Be it airlines, life insurance, coffee shops or credit cards, the more you spend, the more you are given. And that got Zimmermann thinking.“How,” he wondered, “could the poor benefit from incentive programmes without being made to spend more?”And what kind of incentives should they be offered? He is rather scathing of the rewards offered to the rich by most loyalty programmes, calling them “all sorts of junk you didn’t know you didn’t need, or stupidly valued voyager miles”.For Zimmermann, the one incentive scheme that stood out was Discovery Vitality. While it is still aimed at relatively affluent people, it offers rewards for positive life-enhancing behaviour. You get points every time you go to the gym, if you give up smoking (or have never started), if you lose weight (or don’t have to) and for routine preventive health checks like cholesterol tests and pap smears.“If the wealthy can be rewarded for healthy life choices with cheaper movies, holidays and aeroplane flights,” he thought, “why can’t the poor be rewarded for similar behaviour with more appropriate incentives?”And so the Broccoli Project was born. The basic idea is simple. Poor people are encouraged to take preventive health measures, keep their children in school and try to find work if they are unemployed. With families at the bottom of the pyramid, the incentives for these positive efforts are cash or vouchers for food, clothing and/or building materials.The pilot project was run in conjunction with the Tutu Tester, a mobile clinic run by the Desmond Tutu HIV Foundation. The Tutu Tester travels from community to community offering free HIV, blood pressure and diabetes testing, along with comprehensive counselling services. If anyone is found to be HIV positive, or otherwise at risk, they are referred to primary health facilities.The Broccoli Project started off giving R75 cash as an incentive to take an HIV test, but they have since teamed up with retailer Pick n Pay and will be giving grocery vouchers in the future.The project is still in an early phase, but there are plans for expansion. They intend to add tuberculosis to the list of tests on offer, as well as sexually transmitted diseases other than HIV.All participants will be kept on a biometric database (this is where the cool technology comes in) and will be rewarded for, for example, taking an HIV test every three months, as well as remaining HIV-negative. Those who test positive will be given incentives to take their antiretrovirals. This is an important factor in ongoing treatment, as many of those receiving free antiretrovirals can’t afford to buy the nutritious food they need to maintain health.Other plans include incentivising people to keep their children in school, and unemployed people to seek work. But there is no limit to the life-enhancing activities that can be added to the programme.Future plans include a rollout whereby individuals or companies can buy Broccoli vouchers as incentives for employees, or just to give away to destitute people as an alternative to giving them money. The Broccoli Project is a registered Section 18a company, so vouchers will be tax deductable.The Broccoli Project is currently funded almost entirely from the profits of Hola 7, so Zimmermann is using the profits of selling mobile phone packages to (mostly) the poor to fund an incentive programme to better the lives of the poor. That’s really harnessing the power that resides at the bottom of the income pyramid.Do you have queries or comments about this article? Email Mary Alexander at [email protected] articlesLow-cost phones for Africa Mobile HIV testing in KZN HIV/Aids in South Africa Social Development in South AfricaUseful linksThe Broccolli Project Sinethemba Technology Cell C
Share Facebook Twitter Google + LinkedIn Pinterest Dickinson Cattle Company (DCCI) of Barnesville, Ohio won the 2015 Longhorn World Championship in Oklahoma City, OK, ending with the fiercest of competition on Oct. 24. The final calculations were in the Cox Convention Center in downtown OKC. This event is the world’s largest and most versatile cattle competition.The TLMA World Championship is a horn measuring event with careful detail to tip to tip measurement and total horn. Measurements are calculated to 1/16th of an inch by a team of experienced horn masters. This event has built momentum for many years and has great influence on Texas Longhorn market popularity. In recent years Texas Longhorn cattle have sold for amounts above $150,000, and many were sporting record wide serpentined spreads.Texas Longhorn cattle are bred for all the same virtues of other cattle breeds, yet serious longevity of production, attractive colors, unassisted calving, large weaning weights and long twisty horns. The horns are an exciting investor factor with multiple opinionated preferences.The Texas Longhorn Marketing Alliance hosts numerous satellite events all across the nation, then the following week the last group of cattle are measured publicly in the Cox Convention Center in Oklahoma City. Owners who think they have the largest horned cattle participate in this public venue, and like a horse race, only one wins. The TLMA plan lets the best of the best compete all over the nation with all calculations finalized in OKC.DCCI entered two Ohio herd sires Rodeo Max and Clear Point, both prior World Champions. Clear Point won the Largest tip-to-tip in his division and the Greatest Total Horn. Rodeo Max won the Largest tip-to-tip in his division. Clear Point measured 86.5″ at under 42 months and Rodeo Max won with an 85″ measurement at age 11. In a rapidly advancing industry it is difficult for an 11 year old to be this competitive.Dickinson Cattle Company is a family owned ranching business that markets registered cattle, hosts ranch tours for the public and competes in national livestock contests. DCCI has a fully stocked ranch store providing horn products and all natural Texas Longhorn healthy beef. Ranch manager Joel Dickinson reports, “We were very honored that from satellite events nation wide and the final OKC event, our Ohio DCCI bulls won their World Championship Bronzes.”The International Texas Longhorn Association and Texas Longhorn Marketing Alliance co-host the Longhorn Extravaganza at OKC. The Expo turns into a two day 10 ring circus of horn measuring, judged shows, futurities, video presentations, business meetings, marketing booths, vendor “horn” peddlers and an awards presentation/banquet on the final night.Clear Point bred and raised by Dickinson Cattle Co
NU Lady Bulldogs. Photo by Tristan Tamayo/INQUIRER.netMANILA, Philippines—National University squandered a two-sets-to-none lead but still got enough punch to knock University of the Philippines out of contention, 25-21, 26-24,17-25, 23-25, 17-15, Sunday in the UAAP Season 81 women’s volleyball tournament at Mall of Asia Arena.The victory hardly mattered for the Lady Bulldogs, who are already out of running, but they made sure they also pulled down with them the Lady Maroons, whose hope to make the Final Four was snuffed out altogether.ADVERTISEMENT It also gave University of Santo Tomas and Far Eastern University worry-free entry to the semifinals along with Ateneo and La Salle.NU star rookie Princess Robles unloaded 20 points, including the three straight in the frenetic back-and-forth in the fifth set. Libero Jennifer Nierva had 30 excellent digs and 27 excellent receptions.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSPalace wants Cayetano’s PHISGOC Foundation probed over corruption chargesSPORTSSingapore latest to raise issue on SEA Games food, logisticsThe Lady Bulldogs, who also got 15 points from Audrey Paran including the winning spike, hiked their record to 4-9.Despite Tots Carlos’ 18 points, UP fell to 6-7. Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. DA eyes importing ‘galunggong’ anew Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next Hontiveros presses for security audit of national power grid Panelo: Duterte ‘angry’ with SEA Games hosting hassles Cayetano: Senate, Drilon to be blamed for SEA Games mess View comments Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting LATEST STORIES UST Salinggawi win medals in Singapore tilt Ethel Booba twits Mocha over 2 toilets in one cubicle at SEA Games venue MOST READ SEA Games hosting troubles anger Duterte Philippine Arena Interchange inaugurated Chief Justice Peralta on upcoming UAAP game: UP has no match against UST PLAY LIST 01:00Chief Justice Peralta on upcoming UAAP game: UP has no match against UST00:50Trending Articles00:50Trending Articles02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss
Stay tuned to this story as the reports will be updated in the coming hours. Men’s 40’sAustralia has narrowly lost the Men’s 40’s division to New Zealand at the 2011 World Cup, 5-4 in an exciting encounter.Australia took an early lead when John Clark scored following a Troy Morgan run from acting half, but New Zealand were quick to hit back, levelling the score in the next set of six. New Zealand great Pete Walters sent a worry through the New Zealand camp when he looked to be injured, but was soon back on the field and back to his best, setting up a touchdown and helping New Zealand jump ahead to a 3-1 lead. Despite a number of penalties, Australia was unable to capitalise on its opportunities. .New Zealand took their two touchdown advantage into half-time, 3-1. Australia hit back soon after the half-time break, when Robin Kildare setting up John Samin to bring the score back to one touchdown, 3-2. Two quick touchdowns to New Zealand took their lead out to three with just over five minutes remaining. Troy Morgan scored in the next set of six, to bring New Zealand’s lead back to two, and when a New Zealand player was sent to the sin bin with just minutes remaining, Australia capitalised. Robert Sinclair-Smith scored during this time to bring his team back within one touchdown. The Australian comeback was too little too late however, with the siren sounding, giving New Zealand the win, 5-4.Men’s 35’sAustralia has continued it undefeated run at the 2011 World Cup, defeating South Africa, 11-6 in the Men’s 35’s division.The two sides had played each other twice in the lead up to the final, once in the round games and the other in yesterday’s quarter final, which were both won by Australia. Australia got out to a flying start, scoring the first three touchdowns of the match before South Africa got on the scoreboard midway through the first half and went into half-time with a comprehensive lead. Australia continued its dominance after the break, to take the match by five touchdowns and become Australia’s first World Cup champions for 2011. Men’s 30’s Australia has comprehensively beaten England in the grand final of the Men’s Open division at the 2011 World Cup, taking the game 18-2. After a week of Touch Football that including plenty of high scores from the team, including a 31 touchdown win earlier in the week, the win was a great way for the teams to finish their World Cup campaign. The team didn’t waste any time getting on the scoreboard, making their mark on the game in the early exchanges. Captain Gavin Shuker led by example, scoring five touchdowns for the match.Senior MixedAustralia has pushed New Zealand all the way in the Senior Mixed division, taking the game to a drop off before losing 7-6. Australia got out to an impressive start, before New Zealand hit back to get back into the game. After leading 3-1, New Zealand hit back in the late stages of the first half, with Australia going to the half-time break up by one touchdown. New Zealand hit back in the early stages of the second half, with the teams continuing their great rivalry right down to the dying seconds, sending the game into a drop off. Both teams were unable to score in their first set of six, and it was New Zealand who eventually has the opportunity to capitalise, scoring in the first two minutes to take the title.
Twitter/@Fine_and_TandyPretty much every edition of the Kentucky vs. Louisville basketball rivalry is intense, and today’s game certainly didn’t disappoint. The game featured technicals on both coaches, huge dunks and blocks, and a dramatic finish, resulting in a two-point UK win.After the game, multiple Kentucky fans claimed that Louisville head coach Rick Pitino flipped off someone in the crowd while leaving the court. Twitter user Seiver Tandy captured the incident on video. Pitino definitely appears to make a gesture after being taunted, but it is hard to really tell if he gave a fan the finger or not, at least based on this footage.I got Rick flipping off UK fans on video @KySportsRadio pic.twitter.com/VPgUbRGM9H— Seiver Tandy (@Fine_and_Tandy) December 26, 2015Pitino sent assistant Ralph Willard out to answer questions after the game, so we’ll have to wait some time to hear Pitino’s side of things. If he did, in fact, flip of a Kentucky fan, that is a really bad look for the Hall of Fame coach.[KSR]
DETROIT – Fiat Chrysler is recalling more than 300,000 older Ram pickup trucks worldwide because the fuel tanks can sag.The recall mainly affects trucks in cold-weather U.S. states and Canada where salt is used to clear snow from roads.It includes Ram 1500 pickups from the 2009 through 2012 model years. In the U.S. the trucks are in 20 states and Washington, D.C.The company says an investigation found a bracket can corrode and let the tanks sag. The remaining structure will stop the tanks from falling. Fiat Chrysler says it’s not aware of any crashes, fires, leaks or injuries due to the problem.Dealers will reinforce the bracket. Owners will be told when to schedule service. Anyone who notices a hanging strap or lower tank should contact their dealer.
Kolkata: The Kolkata Municipal Corporation is gearing up to supply round the clock drinking water to the slums in the city. The slum dwellers in the city presently get water twice in a day —for around three hours in the morning and for two hours in the late afternoon.”We have already held three meetings and are chalking out a detailed plan on how to go about in developing the infrastructure in the slums so that the residents get round the clock water supply. Mayor Firhad Hakim has instructed us to take all possible measures in this regard,” said Swapan Samaddar, Member, Mayor-in-Council (Bustee Development ) Also Read – Bengal family worships Muslim girl as Goddess Durga in Kumari PujaThe slum dwellers sometimes suffer from scarcity of water particularly during the summer months when the demand increases manifold. Some slum areas are so narrow that vehicles with water tanks are unable to reach. As per initial plans , the KMC Water Supply department will set up a reservoir in the slums wherever there will be availability of space. The water stored will be drawn through a pump and then through a dedicated pipeline it will be supplied to the slum. “We have to carry out awareness among the dwellers to prevent wastage of water,” an official in the Bustee Development department said. Also Read – Bengal civic volunteer dies in road mishap on national highwayThere are around 4,500 slums both authorised and unauthorised under KMC’s jurisdictional area. “We are presently producing water in excess to the demand of the Kolkatans. There are supply problem in certain pockets in the added areas of the city like Tollygunj, Bansdroni, Garia and work for supply pipeline is going on in full swing. Work is expected to be over by March 2020,” an official in the Water Supply department said. The construction of a small booster pumping station at Bangur Park in ward 93 and Babubagan in ward 92 has already started. A reservoir with additional capacity of 2 million gallon is being constructed inside the campus of Anandapur booster pumping station to improve water supply in the adjacent areas.
Check out FiveThirtyEight’s March Madness predictions. The 2015 NCAA tournament is only a few hours old, and we’ve already seen what’s likely to be one of its bigger upsets: 14th-seeded UAB’s 60-59 victory over No. 3 seed Iowa State on Thursday afternoon. Before the game, we pegged Iowa State’s chances of winning at 90.8 percent, so the Blazers’ surprise victory certainly counts as a huge upset. It’s currently the third-most unlikely result in the tournament since we started publishing the FiveThirtyEight model in 2011, trailing only No. 15 seed Norfolk State’s upset of No. 2 seed Missouri in 2012 (which had a 2.8 percent probability of happening) and 14th-seeded Mercer’s victory over No. 3 seed Duke a year ago (7.1 percent).So what are the implications for the rest of the bracket, particularly the South Regional? According to the changes to our model, the biggest beneficiary (other than UAB themselves) might be Southern Methodist University; SMU’s chances of cracking the Sweet 16 rose by 26.7 percentage points now that Iowa State isn’t standing in its way. A similar story goes for UCLA, SMU’s round-of-64 opponents; UCLA’s chances of making the Sweet 16 increased by 14.9 percentage points.Looking further down the bracket, Gonzaga saw its chances of landing in the Elite Eight improve by 11.5 percentage points and its odds of making the Final Four improve by 5.5 percentage points. And even Duke, relatively distant from Iowa State in the bracket as a No. 1 seed in the other half of the region, saw its odds of a Final Four berth improve incrementally (by 1.9 percentage points).It’s all proof that big upsets in the round of 64 can have ripple effects that extend beyond it. In particular, the absence of a potential threat down the road can make things easier for the other strong teams in the region along their path to the Final Four.